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Post by aricpelt on Sept 12, 2016 16:37:19 GMT
Curious who you guys are predicting to win the chase this year... Not who you're rooting for (we all know the answer to that one), but who you think is going to raise the trophy at the end of the season.. Who would you actually place money on winning? Attachments:
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Post by aricpelt on Sept 12, 2016 16:47:15 GMT
I think Truex Jr gets his problems straightened out in time.... Attachments:
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Post by Greg4fan on Sept 12, 2016 18:05:04 GMT
Honestly 8-10 weeks or so ago I thought the 4 car wouldn't get out of the second round, but I'm picking them, and confidently so.
The cars have had great speed since Loudon or the second Pocono race, and if the pit crew is left like it was at Richmond, that equalizes out our biggest deficit. I think it's us against the 18, 78, and 11 at Homestead.
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Post by NateDoggg on Sept 13, 2016 1:17:21 GMT
Chris Buescher - LOTS of fog on the horizon!!!
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Post by NateDoggg on Sept 13, 2016 1:23:06 GMT
But.....all joking aside....
I believe each of these guys have about a 10% chance of winning: Keselowski Hamlin Harvick Kyle Busch Truex Edwards Logano Larson Jimmie Johnson
This stupid Chase is such a friggin crapshoot (as evidenced by Harvick needing to win last year just to get out of the 1st round), that predicting who will actually win the thing is an effort in futility imo. Gun to my head, I would pick Keselowski to win it because I think he has the best driver/crew chief/car combination at this point in time. But he could just as easily get ousted in the 1st round - as ANY of them could. My second choice would actually be the #42 of Larson. My final 4 "best guess" would probably be something like: 2, 4, 42, 78
I'd give each of these guys about a 3% chance of winning: Kenseth Stewart Kurt Busch
And, these guys can fight over the last 1%: Elliott Dillon McMurray Buescher
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Post by Deleted on Sept 13, 2016 2:02:08 GMT
I'm going to have to see more than one race with the current pit crew to have a good feeling about the 4. The speed is there definitely to win.
For now..here's my final 4: 18, 2, 78, 4 - 18 takes it all.
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Post by aricpelt on Sept 13, 2016 12:00:52 GMT
I'm going to have to see more than one race with the current pit crew to have a good feeling about the 4. ... I'm with you... If they can stop shooting themselves in the foot as a team, they have to be favorites... but I'm not sold on their ability at this point.... I'll continue rooting for them while that bowtie is on the front of the car and I hope to be able to see his victory burnout at Homestead!
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Post by russellb on Sept 13, 2016 23:19:20 GMT
The vegas odds makers pick Harvick and I have to agree.
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Post by nodak on Sept 16, 2016 17:57:25 GMT
Final 4: 2, 4, 20, 78 If the 78 makes the final 4 he will be a beast. Nobody can seem to catch him on 1 1/2 mile tracks. The only car that can compete with him is the 4 and it will have to be the pit crew that gives us the advantage or we can't beat him. My heart say 4 wins it all but we've all watched the 78 this year and he is on another level right now. I have to say 78 wins the race and Kevin finishes 2nd again. Hope I'm wrong!
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The Chase
Sept 17, 2016 0:48:26 GMT
via mobile
Post by Salma on Sept 17, 2016 0:48:26 GMT
Final 4: 2, 4, 20, 78 If the 78 makes the final 4 he will be a beast. Nobody can seem to catch him on 1 1/2 mile tracks. The only car that can compete with him is the 4 and it will have to be the pit crew that gives us the advantage or we can't beat him. My heart say 4 wins it all but we've all watched the 78 this year and he is on another level right now. I have to say 78 wins the race and Kevin finishes 2nd again. Hope I'm wrong! I firmly believe it's because the 78 has been cheating all along. Once again he got busted at Richmond for failing laser inspection. -10 points before the Chase reset, meaningless of course. And still no suspension for the Canadian. Rodney has a loose lugnut and he gets a day off. Obvious Toyota, Joe Gibbs, Barney Visser bias. Perhaps Toyota bought off the Booze Hound, Mr. Integrity, The Master of Puppets, Drunken Brian France with a case of Scotch for a reduced sentence. link
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Post by aricpelt on Sept 19, 2016 11:57:09 GMT
I don't really give a second thought to the post race LSI, A lot happens over the course of several hundred miles and it's only off by 1/100th of an inch??? ... As long as it passed pre-race, that should be the end of it...
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The Chase
Sept 19, 2016 18:01:30 GMT
via mobile
Post by Salma on Sept 19, 2016 18:01:30 GMT
I don't really give a second thought to the post race LSI, A lot happens over the course of several hundred miles and it's only off by 1/100th of an inch??? ... As long as it passed pre-race, that should be the end of it... Consider this Aric, drivers have been told on the cool down lap to "make sure to swerve the car" before coming down pit road. Just yesterday Truex's spotter was heard telling Martin this twice on the cool down lap to do so. This swerving with clockwise rotation adjusts the mechanical skew back out of the car that has been created during the race by creative means. This skew that gets built up naturally during The race through built in slop in components creates sideforce likened to the twisted sister cars of old. The 78 failed LIS inspection 2 races in a row after having past initial pre race. He failed yesterday by a minor P2 grade amount of .011 degrees. They would have had a greater skew error if they did not create the clockwise torque on the rear end during there cool down lap. Also burnouts rotation have and affect on this skew correction as well. A lot of cars are doing this, a good majority are the winning Toyotas.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 19, 2016 20:15:17 GMT
I don't really give a second thought to the post race LSI, A lot happens over the course of several hundred miles and it's only off by 1/100th of an inch??? ... As long as it passed pre-race, that should be the end of it... Consider this Aric, drivers have been told on the cool down lap to "make sure to swerve the car" before coming down pit road. Just yesterday Truex's spotter was heard telling Martin this twice on the cool down lap to do so. This swerving with clockwise rotation adjusts the mechanical skew back out of the car that has been created during the race by creative means. This skew that gets built up naturally during The race through built in slop in components creates sideforce likened to the twisted sister cars of old. The 78 failed LIS inspection 2 races in a row after having past initial pre race. He failed yesterday by a minor P2 grade amount of .011 degrees. They would have had a greater skew error if they did not create the clockwise torque on the rear end during there cool down lap. Also burnouts rotation have and affect on this skew correction as well. A lot of cars are doing this, a good majority are the winning Toyotas. Indeed. The engineers working on these cars are so incredibly smart, they can pretty much find a way to make some part of the car react a certain way during a race to give them an advantage. They're pretty damn good at hiding it too (maybe not so much in the 78's case). I hate calling another team/driver a cheater, because they're all cheating to an extent. The 78 team is just cheating better than us right now. It's motorsports, and it's always been that way. Someone has always pushed the envelope through creative innovation.
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The Chase
Oct 17, 2016 13:23:52 GMT
via mobile
Post by anotherharvickfan on Oct 17, 2016 13:23:52 GMT
The vegas odds makers pick Harvick and I have to agree. Same here, not because I want him to, but money would go to the odds. Not to because he just won Kansas, but week in and week out he's always included during pre race picks as a one to beat.
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Post by rameye on Oct 17, 2016 15:37:16 GMT
The vegas odds makers pick Harvick and I have to agree. Same here, not because I want him to, but money would go to the odds. Not to because he just won Kansas, but week in and week out he's always included during pre race picks as a one to beat. Ahhh Dega one day....quite a truck from up here!
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